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My Charting Blog

It is interesting that I start off this Blog when the Singapore Stock Market is heading south. However, this makes it more interesting for me to write on as the market turned volatile. My interest is Technical Analysis, TA for short. I love to look at charts and predicting where they are heading. This blog is or me to record my thoughts on the market. The articles on this blog are based solely on my personal opinion on the charts that I read and readers should not take it as absolute.

9/26/2013

This is a BIG counter wave -- Capitamall Trust

I have decided to write about Capitamall Trust because firstly it is not in my profile. It is also because I have been looking at my profile over and over again, every single night and practically not much changes as I am glancing at weekly chart. I also need to practice my charting with different charts.

When I opened Capitamall Trust, first question came into my mind, " how is it that the bottom looks so strange?" On a second glance, it dawn on me with a few facts:

1)  The movement from 2010 till 2013 is in fact a top formation;
2)  This chart never did recover from the shot down in 2008;
3)  This chart is completing B wave and going down with a C;

Now how did I come to such conclusion? First of all, it does not comes with a possibility of any bottom formation at all, if there is, it happened during second 1/2 of 2008 till mid of 2009.  The pattern after that is more suitable as a top formation such as a double top or head and shoulders.

While the down trend from 2007 till 2009 consist of an abc pattern, it nevetheless can be consider as a major A.This makes the behavior from 2009 till 2013 more logical, since it is also an abc wave pattern. C will then have to be a 5-wave pattern.

As for the never did recover part, need I say more? It has never gone back to its previous glory even when STI is close to meeting the previous peak. In fact, putting a Gann Grid retracement, it barely touched 61.8% retracement line before receeding down ward.

From the looks of it, C is quite steep, I think the move may be swift.

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