STI Struggling to stay afloat
It is quite a frustrating day today. To start with I am not following routine today. I am escorting my parents going arround meeting some old friends. While I am not having access to the internet, the index and many stocks went counter trend, one stock actually broke through my support level and trigger a stop loss. Then the worst thing is that this is my second time writing this blog, something happen when I submit the blog the first time round.
So with all the unlucky events on me today, what is the STI doing? It is doing a correction, a little earlier than what I have expected. I was anticipating a round off before it reversed. Anyway it is good since the recent rise was a little too rush.
The down turn has still not cause a turn in many of the indicators that I have used. Only RSI is reversed while Stochastic and MACD is still diverging up ward. I would feel that this week would still be good for the Singapore market.
The resistance still remains at 2,398, 21 days MA and 89 days MA @ 2,470 and 2,484 respectively. I would not consider a bear yet for STI as 21 days vs 89 days is still not as reliable as 55 days vs 89 days. But 21 days is a good indicator as a resistance level at the moment.
My worry is that STI is struggling at the trendline. This is not very good as it is continued to be tested. It is a sign that STI is weak and a reversal may be coming soon. Presently it is lying below the trend resistance of 2,413. If unable to break this trend, we would see a longer south migration.
1 Comments:
If you looks at the 14 days RSIs for all major sector charts, you may note that most indices have been extremely oversold below 20. Are the crowd too pessimistic at this stage just as they are too optimistic when RSI hit more than 90?
If history really repeats itself, I could say that the bottom is almost in place. Look at the nearest time when most RSIs hit below 20, the market reversed and roared ahead.
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